1AM Day 3 Convective Outlook for Monday, August 25. NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
SUMMARY
The potential for severe storms across the continental U.S. on Monday and Monday night appears to be low.
DISCUSSION
A large-scale cyclonic flow pattern will remain over much of the eastern half of the U.S. on Monday. At the surface, a large area of high pressure will settle in across the north-central U.S., as a relative cool and dry airmass remains in place from the eastern Gulf Coast states northward into the Great Lakes. A front is forecast to move through New England, along which isolated thunderstorm development is expected during the day. Instability near the front should remain weak, and the potential for severe storms appears low.
In the central U.S., northwesterly mid-level flow will be in place on Monday. A slow-moving front is forecast over the southern High Plains. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible in the afternoon near the front from south-central Colorado into the northern Texas Panhandle. Along and near the front, instability is expected to remain weak, suggesting the severe potential should remain low. Elsewhere across the continental U.S., a severe threat is not expected Monday or Monday night.