6PM Day 1 Convective Outlook for Monday, January 26. NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
SUMMARY
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast tonight.
01z Update
Strong 500mb speed max is translating across WV early this evening. As a result, primary corridor of warm advection is now focusing across the Middle Atlantic/southern New England where negligible buoyancy is noted. Deep convection has been confined to the trailing cold front across portions of the Southeast, and lightning with this activity has been decreasing over the last few hours. While 00z sounding from JAX exhibits around 300 J/kg MLCAPE, low-level convergence will gradually focus off the Atlantic coast later this evening as the front surges across this region. Given the limited instability, and the primary focus for ascent well north of this region, severe probabilities appear low the rest of tonight.