11PM Day 1 Convective Outlook for Friday, January 30. NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
SUMMARY
Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight.
Synopsis/Discussion
A longwave trough will remain steadfast east of the Rockies, with upper ridging prevalent over much of the West aside from a few ridge-riding shortwave troughs over the Pacific Northwest and Canadian Rockies. Surface cyclogenesis is expected late tonight off the coastal south Atlantic, with the expectation that convection will also increase offshore in vicinity of the Gulf Stream overnight through early Saturday morning. However, it appears that lightning flash potential will remain limited (less than 10 percent) for the near-coastal areas of the Carolinas.