1PM Day 1 Convective Outlook for Sunday, February 1. NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
SUMMARY
Thunderstorm potential appears low today and tonight.
Synopsis
The previous forecast (see below) remains on track.
Synopsis and Discussion
Cold/stable conditions behind a front will limit thunderstorm potential across the central/eastern CONUS today. A mid-level shortwave trough will advance eastward across the Pacific Northwest into the northern Rockies through tonight. Cool temperatures aloft associated with this feature may support very weak instability and perhaps an occasional lightning flash. However, it still appears that overall thunderstorm coverage will remain less than 10%.