12PM Day 3 Convective Outlook for Wednesday, February 4. NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
SUMMARY
Thunderstorm potential appears low on Wednesday.
Synopsis
A large-scale, positive-tilt upper trough will cover much of the central/eastern CONUS on Wednesday. One embedded shortwave trough is forecast to move across parts of the Southeast and Gulf Coast vicinity, while another drops southward across the southern Plains. Weak convection will likely be ongoing Wednesday morning near a cold front from the FL Panhandle into parts of GA. This convection may continue through the day across parts of SC/GA and north FL, as the front advances southeastward. Buoyancy is expected to be quite weak, and forecast soundings suggest that convection will generally be too weak and low-topped for thunderstorm development. While very isolated lightning flashes cannot be ruled out, coverage currently appears too limited for any general thunderstorm areas.