12AM Day 2 Convective Outlook for Wednesday, February 4. NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
SUMMARY
Thunderstorm potential appears low on Wednesday.
Synopsis/Discussion
A positively tilted large-scale trough encompassing the eastern half of the CONUS will undergo amplification as an embedded shortwave trough digs southeastward across the Southeast into the northern Gulf of America. As this occurs, a weak cold front will move east-southeastward along the central Gulf Coast during the morning and afternoon. Current thinking is that buoyancy over land will be too weak/shallow for any more than an isolated lightning flash with convection along the front.