6PM Day 1 Convective Outlook for Thursday, January 22. NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
SUMMARY
Isolated thunderstorms may occur across parts of far east Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley today and tonight. Additionally, a few lightning strikes may be possible late tonight across southeast Florida.
01Z Update
Severe thunderstorms are not expected across the United States this evening and tonight. A few lightning strikes may be possible across a couple different areas.
Far East Texas into the Lower Mississippi Valley
A mid-level short-wave trough continues to through the larger-scale eastern US trough. Modest low-level warm advection associated with this short-wave trough will continue to support showers and a lightning strike or two across the area tonight.
Southeast Florida
A subtle short-wave trough and associated mid-level speed maximum will move northeast from the Gulf across northern Florida within the subtropical jet. Modest large-scale ascent associated with the right entrance region of this speed max may support showers and perhaps a thunderstorm or two very late tonight.