6PM Day 1 Convective Outlook for Saturday, January 24. NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
SUMMARY
Scattered weak thunderstorm activity is possible tonight primarily across the Texas Big Bend region into central Texas.
01z Update
Broad warm advection regime has established itself across the southern Plains into far west TX. Latest surface data suggests the polar front has surged to a position from northwest of CLL-ATT-OZA. This boundary will advance into the lower Rio Grande Valley region later tonight. Earlier thoughts continue regarding the potential for elevated convection atop the cooler air mass. Model guidance continues to suggest some risk for surface-based convection near the front later tonight. However, low-level convergence is not particularly noteworthy and updraft strength with this activity is expected to remain weak.